Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.