MX23RW : Monday, September 16 12:20:59| >> :60:770:770:
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Livingston logo

Spartans
0 - 2
Livingston


Denholm (59'), Russell (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
May (65'), Smith (81')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Spartans and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Last Game: Stirling 1-0 Spartans
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
SpartansDrawLivingston
19.25% (0.235 0.23) 22.86% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 57.88% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)48.17% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.044 -0.04)70.32% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (0.23699999999999 0.24)39.11% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (0.223 0.22)75.83% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)16.36% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.02% (-0.236 -0.24)45.98% (0.234 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 19.25%
    Livingston 57.88%
    Draw 22.86%
SpartansDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 6.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.1% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 19.25%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 11.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.86% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 57.88%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 3pm
Group Stage
Livingston
0-1
Spartans
Russell (85')
Watson (72'), Whyte (82')
rhs 2.0
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