MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 07:43:22| >> :60:99:99:
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Falkirk

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Falkirk

Murray (4', 78'), Naismith (55')
Murray (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nesbitt (8')
Krasniqi (53')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Kilmarnock and Falkirk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawFalkirk
66.72%19.4%13.88%
Both teams to score 50.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3%42.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.89%65.11%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.11%11.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.79%37.21%
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.41%42.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05%78.95%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 66.71%
    Falkirk 13.88%
    Draw 19.4%
KilmarnockDrawFalkirk
2-0 @ 11.48%
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 4.34%
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 66.71%
1-1 @ 9.2%
0-0 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 19.4%
0-1 @ 4.32%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 13.88%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
May 22, 2016 3pm
Finals
Kilmarnock
4-0
Falkirk
Kilpie (3', 62'), Addison (8'), Boyd (65')
Kilpie (63'), Boyd (78')

McCracken (56'), Kerr (80')
May 19, 2016 7.45pm
Finals
Falkirk
1-0
Kilmarnock
Vaulks (91')
Kerr (72')

Obadeyi (69')
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
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