Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Al Shamal	Draw	Al Ahli
33.84% ( 0.28)	22.83% ( -0.02)	43.33% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 65.21% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.29% (

0.2)

35.71% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.22% (

0.22)

57.77% (

-0.22)

Al Shamal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.24)

21.38% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.38)

54.36% (

-0.38)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

-0.03)

17.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78% (

-0.04)

47.21% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Al Shamal 33.84%

Al Ahli 43.33%

Draw 22.83%

Al Shamal	Draw	Al Ahli
2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 33.84%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 43.33%