Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Al Gharafa	Draw	Al Shamal
49.27% ( -0.35)	22.16% ( 0.07)	28.57% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 64.77% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.92% (

-0.17)

35.07% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.93% (

-0.18)

57.07% (

0.18)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35% (

-0.18)

14.64% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.22% (

-0.34)

42.77% (

0.33)

Al Shamal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

0.09)

24.11% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59% (

0.13)

58.41% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Al Gharafa 49.27%

Al Shamal 28.57%

Draw 22.16%

Al Gharafa	Draw	Al Shamal
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.57%