Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.