Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
NK Istra 1961	Draw	Hajduk Split
16.72% ( 0.09)	24.18% ( 0.28)	59.1% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 42.75% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28% (

-0.85)

56.72% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33% (

-0.69)

77.67% (

0.69)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81% (

-0.4)

47.19% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37% (

-0.3)

82.63% (

0.3)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

-0.46)

19.04% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.38% (

-0.77)

50.62% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

NK Istra 1961 16.72%

Hajduk Split 59.1%

Draw 24.18%

NK Istra 1961	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.72%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 14.9% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 6.83% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 59.1%