Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.

Result
NK Lokomotiva	Draw	NK Istra 1961
40.61% ( 0.11)	25.88% ( 0.05)	33.5% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

-0.25)

50.02% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

-0.23)

72% (

0.23)

NK Lokomotiva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.67% (

-0.06)

24.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.28% (

-0.09)

58.72% (

0.09)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

-0.22)

28.37% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

-0.28)

64.11% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

NK Lokomotiva 40.61%

NK Istra 1961 33.51%

Draw 25.88%

NK Lokomotiva	Draw	NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.51%