Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.