Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.