Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.7%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.