Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.