Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal in this match.