MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 15:28:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
St George's Park National Football Centre

Stoke U21s
5 - 1
Man City U21s

Smith (13'), Lowe (52', 83', 90+7' pen.), McCarron (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (77')
Noble (51'), Susoho (74'), Taylor (90+6')
Susoho (90+3')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 4-2 Norwich U21s
Monday, January 8 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Man City U21s 0-6 Norwich U21s
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 60.67%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.2%) and 2-3 (5.53%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
21.37% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 17.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 60.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 72.69% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)21.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.42% (0.012 0.01)40.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)54.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)7.36% (0.0058999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City Under-21s 21.37%
    Manchester City Under-21s 60.67%
    Draw 17.97%
Stoke City Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 21.37%
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-1 @ 6.35%
3-3 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 17.97%
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 7.2% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 5.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-4 @ 3.61%
0-4 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 60.67%

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