Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.5%) and 3-1 (5.49%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.