Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Widzew Lodz	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
44.79% ( -0.61)	23.72% ( 0.05)	31.48% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 60.88% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.03% (

0.02)

40.97% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.64% (

0.02)

63.36% (

-0.02)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

-0.24)

18.57% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16% (

-0.41)

49.84% (

0.42)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

0.36)

25.23% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

0.49)

59.97% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Widzew Lodz 44.79%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 31.48%

Draw 23.72%

Widzew Lodz	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 44.79%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.48%