Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Szczecin3 - 1Korona Kielce
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nono (36' pen.)
Remacle (61'), Kuzera (73')
Remacle (61'), Kuzera (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Korona Kielce.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
55.91% ( 0.36) | 22.73% ( -0.09) | 21.37% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.03) | 44.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.02) | 67.17% ( -0.02) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( 0.13) | 15.86% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.94% ( 0.24) | 45.07% ( -0.24) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( -0.25) | 35.02% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.26) | 71.76% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin 55.9%
Korona Kielce 21.37%
Draw 22.73%
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 21.37% |
Form Guide
