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Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
El Sadar
Levante logo

Osasuna
3 - 1
Levante

Avila (44'), Budimir (57'), Brasanac (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marti (76')
Pubill (47')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Levante - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Levante, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Levante's battle to remain in La Liga will continue on Saturday evening when they make the trip to Estadio El Sadar to take on Osasuna.

The visitors are currently 20th in the table, six points from the safety of 17th position, while Osasuna occupy 11th position, 11 points clear of the bottom three heading into the next set of fixtures.


Match preview

Osasuna coach Jagoba Arrasate on March 13, 2022© Reuters

Osasuna have enjoyed a relatively strong campaign to date, winning nine, drawing eight and losing 11 of their 28 La Liga matches to collect 35 points, which has left them in 11th position in the table, 11 points clear of the bottom three and just two points behind ninth-placed Valencia.

Jagoba Arrasate's side have lost three of their last four in the league, though, including a 4-0 defeat at Barcelona last weekend, while they have also been beaten by Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad during a tough run of matches in Spain's top flight.

Osasuna's success this season has been built on a strong away record, with the club picking up 20 points from 14 matches, which is the sixth-best away record in Spain's top flight this term.

In contrast, Los Rojillos have found it difficult in front of their own supporters, claiming just 15 points from 14 matches, securing only three wins in the process, although they did record a 1-0 win over Villarreal in their last match at Estadio El Sadar.

Osasuna have also only lost one of their last five La Liga matches against Levante, but the points were shared in a goalless draw earlier this season.

Levante's Gonzalo Melero celebrates scoring their first goal on February 16, 2022© Reuters

Levante are attempting to complete the great escape in La Liga this season, and they have given themselves a fighting chance of avoiding the drop due to their form in recent weeks.

Indeed, Alessio Lisci's side have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league matches, which has left them 20th in the table on 19 points, six points behind 17th-placed Granada on the same number of games.

Levante still have more than enough time to escape the bottom three, and they managed to come from behind to claim a point at home to Espanyol last time out, with Dani Gomez netting in the 80th minute of the contest.

The Frogs are in their fifth straight season at this level of football, so relegation back to the second tier would be a surprise, but they have not managed to win enough matches this season, picking up maximum points in just three of their 28 games at the top level of Spanish football.

Levante also have the second-worst away form in La Liga this season, picking up only six points from 13 matches, conceding 33 times in the process, which is the worst record in the division.

Osasuna La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Levante La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Levante's Enis Bardhi celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 28, 2021© Reuters

Osasuna will be able to welcome back Ezequiel Avila into their squad this weekend following suspension, but Jesus Areso remains unavailable for selection due to a wrist problem.

Head coach Arrasate is expected to make changes from the side that started against Osasuna, with Aridane Hernandez, Roberto Torres and Darko Brasanac among those likely to come into the XI.

Ante Budimir could also feature in the final third of the field alongside Avila, but Ruben Garcia should retain his spot in a wide area for the home side.

As for Levante, Carlos Clerc, Jose Luis Morales and Shkodran Mustafi remain on the sidelines through injury, while Oscar Duarte and Jorge de Frutos will miss out with the problems that they suffered against Espanyol.

Ruben Vezo is expected to replace Duarte at the back, while De Frutos's absence could open the door for 21-year-old Alejandro Cantero to start in a forward area.

The away side's squad will be boosted by the return of Jorge Miramon, though, with the defender being forced to miss out against Espanyol through suspension.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, Aridane, Cruz, Cote; Torres, Moncayola, Brasanac, R Garcia; Budimir, Avila

Levante possible starting lineup:
Cardenas; Rober, Vezo, Caceres; Miramon, Pepelu, Melero, Son; Cantero, Marti, Bardhi


SM words green background

We say: Osasuna 1-1 Levante

Levante desperately need wins at this stage of the season, but they have only been victorious once on their travels in the league this term. Osasuna's home record is one of the worst in Spain's top flight in 2021-22, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Levante had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Osasuna vs Levante

Osasuna
63.2%
Draw
26.3%
Levante
10.5%
38
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Tables header RHS
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2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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