MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:55:33| >> :600:1081484:1081484:
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Paris 2024
Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

USA U23s
3 - 0
Guinea U23s

Mihailovic (14'), Paredes (31', 75')
Dietz (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Camara (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between USA and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Under-23s

All competitions
Last Game: N.Zealand U23s 1-4 USA U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

Guinea U23s

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: France U23s 1-0 Guinea U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: USA 2-0 Guinea

 Team USA showed their class against New Zealand at the weekend and will be licking their lips as they take on an inexperienced Guinea side who have endured a difficult campaign. We predict Mitrovic's men will pick up where they left off last time out and secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea U23s win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea U23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest USA Under-23s win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that USA Under-23s would win this match.

Result
USA Under-23sDrawGuinea U23s
23.85% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 23.74% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 52.4% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (0.089999999999996 0.09)46.49% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)68.76% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)
USA Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (0.101 0.1)33.67% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.109 0.11)70.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Guinea U23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02)17.71% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.38% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    USA Under-23s 23.85%
    Guinea U23s 52.4%
    Draw 23.74%
USA Under-23sDrawGuinea U23s
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.53% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.4%

How you voted: USA U23s vs Guinea U23s

USA Under-23s
83.1%
Draw
8.5%
Guinea U23s
8.5%
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