There is little to choose between the sides heading into this one and Tuesday's clash could easily swing either way. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-23s win with a probability of 88.55%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Dominican Republic Under-23s had a probability of 3.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-23s win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.3%) and 0-4 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for a Dominican Republic Under-23s win it was 1-0 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Dominican Republic Under-23s	Draw	Uzbekistan Under-23s
3.18% ( 0.26)	8.27% ( 0.37)	88.55% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 38.74% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.25% (

-0.21)

27.75% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.57% (

-0.27)

48.43% (

0.27)

Dominican Republic Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.33% (

1.31)

59.67% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.52% (

0.66)

90.48% (

-0.66)

Uzbekistan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.05% (

-0.13)

3.95% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.28% (

-0.44)

16.72% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Dominican Republic Under-23s 3.18%

Uzbekistan Under-23s 88.53%

Draw 8.27%

Dominican Republic Under-23s	Draw	Uzbekistan Under-23s
1-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.94% Total : 3.18%	1-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.34% Total : 8.27%	0-3 @ 13.25% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 12.3% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 10.7% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 6.92% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 0-6 @ 3.73% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.12) 0-7 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.95% Total : 88.53%