MX23RW : Monday, November 25 11:04:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 1
Carrick

Vertainen (2', 28'), McDaid (90+2')
(8'), McStravick (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tilney (80')
Stewart (90'), Ervin (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-2 Ballymena
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
67.05% (-0.708 -0.71) 19.6% (0.402 0.4) 13.36% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 48.44% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22% (-1.081 -1.08)44.78% (1.077 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (-1.049 -1.05)67.14% (1.047 1.05)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)12.41% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.69% (-1.083 -1.08)38.3% (1.08 1.08)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3% (-0.207 -0.21)44.69% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.31% (-0.169 -0.17)80.69% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 67.04%
    Carrick Rangers 13.36%
    Draw 19.6%
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 12.07% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.4% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.194 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.6%
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.36%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Carrick
2-1
Linfield
Mitchell (14'), McGuckin (64')
(30'), Cushley (41'), Mitchell (56'), Cherry (81')
Devine (53')
Roscoe (39'), Vertainen (42'), Cooper (69'), (90+1')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-2
Linfield
Gibson (69')
Glendinning (28'), Cushley (51'), (73')
Scully (3' og.), McKee (36')
(62'), (84'), (90+2')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Shields (80' pen.), Millar (90')

Cherry (79'), Glendinning (82')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Linfield
4-0
Carrick
Manzinga (26', 34'), Roscoe (29'), Donnelly (37')
(30')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Linfield
7-0
Carrick
Lavery (14', 20' pen., 54'), Millar (28'), Newberry (32'), Palmer (73'), Stewart (74')
Cooper (90+3')

Ramsey (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7CrusadersCrusaders168262018226
8ColeraineColeraine187472924525
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!