Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
