We said: York City 0-1 Wealdstone
The atmosphere is set to be frosty in York after the unpopular dismissal of Askey on Wednesday, and Wealdstone could take advantage of such unrest.
The Stones had been letting in goals at an alarming rate before two clean sheets most recently, and we are backing them to make it three shutouts in a row against the Minstermen this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.