Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aldershot Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aldershot Town.