Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.