Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
56.55% ( 0.07) | 24.19% ( 0.14) | 19.26% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( -0.78) | 53.41% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( -0.66) | 74.94% ( 0.66) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.27) | 18.75% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.45) | 50.14% ( 0.45) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% ( -0.68) | 42.15% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.43% ( -0.6) | 78.57% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.55% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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