Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
