Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Maidenhead United |
55.6% ( -0.09) | 22.06% ( 0.02) | 22.34% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% ( -0.04) | 40.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% ( -0.04) | 62.98% ( 0.03) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% ( -0.04) | 14.51% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.48% ( -0.08) | 42.51% ( 0.07) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( 0.03) | 31.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( 0.04) | 68.18% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 21 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 |
3 | York City | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Eastleigh | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Rochdale | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
7 | Gateshead | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Woking | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
18 | Tamworth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
20 | Fylde | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 5 |
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