Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.