National League | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Gateshead
While Gateshead do not have much to play for, Boreham Wood still require a point to seal a playoff place, and we think that the extra motivation could help them secure a narrow victory on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 50.26% . A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.63%) . The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood .
Result Boreham Wood Draw Gateshead 50.26% ( 5.89) 24.32% ( -1.5) 25.41% ( -4.39)
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 1.48)
52.44% ( 3.49) 47.56% ( -3.49)
30.23% ( 3.14) 69.77% ( -3.14)
81.05% ( 3.98) 18.95% ( -3.98)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.53% ( 6.23) 50.47% ( -6.23)
67.07% ( -1.55) 32.93% ( 1.55)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.49% ( -1.75) 69.51% ( 1.75)
Boreham Wood 50.26%
Gateshead 25.41%
Draw 24.32%
Boreham Wood Draw Gateshead 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.88) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.96) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.58) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.28) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.26% 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.75) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.96) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.32% 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -1.41) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.71) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.98) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.41%
How you voted: Boreham Wood vs Gateshead
Boreham Wood
Draw
Gateshead
7
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 20:18:12
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