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National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Weymouth

Hemel Hempstead
2 - 1
Weymouth

Williams (81', 89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melvin-Lambert (23')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheshunt 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWeymouth
39.97% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 24.54% (0.023 0.02) 35.49% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.114 -0.11)43.66% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.113 -0.11)66.05% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.85% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)24.17% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.137 -0.14)58.5% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 39.97%
    Weymouth 35.49%
    Draw 24.54%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWeymouth
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.49%

Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston17114231151637
2Truro CityTruro City18104429161334
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1810442722534
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd188732216631
5Dorking WanderersDorking198653529630
6Farnborough TownFarnborough189363127430
7Worthing178542728-129
8Slough TownSlough1884633231028
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Hampton & RichmondHampton177462417725
11Chippenham TownChippenham187472419525
12Chesham UnitedChesham157352722524
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels156632015524
14Maidstone UnitedMaidstone165832018223
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch176561617-123
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.196492533-822
18Welling UnitedWelling United1861111934-1519
19Salisbury164572227-517
20Bath City1844101326-1316
21St Albans CitySt Albans City172691625-912
22Weymouth172691122-1112
23Aveley1732121730-1311
24Enfield Town1732121638-2211


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