National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
Spennymoor1 - 2Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Spennymoor
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
38.64% ( -0.07) | 26.34% ( -0.01) | 35.03% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% ( 0.05) | 51.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% ( 0.05) | 73.49% ( -0.04) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% ( -0.02) | 61.24% ( 0.02) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( 0.07) | 28.26% ( -0.07) |