Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.