National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley3 - 0Scarborough Ath
Hazlehurst (45+1'), Calveley (56'), Ubaezuonu (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Scarborough Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Shields 2-1 Chorley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
48.95% ( -0.02) | 25.23% ( 0.01) | 25.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
