Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	AFC Telford United
59.4% ( -0.69)	22.89% ( 0.27)	17.7% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 48.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.5% (

-0.46)

50.5% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

-0.41)

72.43% (

0.41)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

-0.4)

16.66% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.49% (

-0.72)

46.51% (

0.72)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.74% (

0.24)

42.26% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.34% (

0.2)

78.66% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 59.39%

AFC Telford United 17.7%

Draw 22.89%

Alfreton Town	Draw	AFC Telford United
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.39%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.7%