Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	South Shields
39.97% ( 0.14)	24.73% ( -0.01)	35.3% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 58.55% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43% (

0.04)

44.57% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

0.04)

66.93% (

-0.04)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

0.08)

22.25% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.13)

55.68% (

-0.13)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.05)

24.7% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-0.07)

59.24% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 39.97%

South Shields 35.3%

Draw 24.72%

Alfreton Town	Draw	South Shields
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.97%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.3%