Major League Soccer
Nov 11, 2023 at 3am UK
CenturyLink Field
We said: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Dallas
Winning away from home in the playoffs is difficult, with few having done it so far in 2023, and we believe that the Sounders' post-season experience and their lengthy unbeaten run in Seattle versus the Toros will provide them with a significant psychological edge heading into this match.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 57.99% . A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 18.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.57%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.59%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Seattle Sounders.
Result Seattle Sounders Draw Dallas 57.99% ( 0.46) 23.81% ( -0.02) 18.2% ( -0.44)
Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0.7)
46.67% ( -0.54) 53.33% ( 0.53)
25.12% ( -0.46) 74.88% ( 0.45)
81.82% ( -0.03) 18.18% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.82% ( -0.05) 49.18% ( 0.05)
56.67% ( -0.84) 43.33% ( 0.84)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.43% ( -0.71) 79.57% ( 0.71)
Seattle Sounders 57.98%
Dallas 18.2%
Draw 23.81%
Seattle Sounders Draw Dallas 1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.98% 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.81% 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.2%
How you voted: Seattle vs Dallas
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Dallas
13
rhs 2.0
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