Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
58.24% | 21.78% | 19.98% |
Both teams to score 55.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% | 42.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.17% | 64.83% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% | 14.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.92% | 42.08% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% | 35.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% | 71.76% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.47% 3-1 @ 6.45% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.97% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.22% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-1 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |