Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.