Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.