Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.