Major League Soccer

Jul 17, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Seattle

Czichos (23')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Houston Dynamo	20	-3	22
7	Chicago Fire	20	-7	20
8	Sporting Kansas City	21	-12	20

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Seattle Sounders

Given the differing form of the two sides, Sunday's game seems particularly tough to call, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. The visitors will be desperate to bounce back from consecutive defeats but take on a Chicago side with renewed confidence from their win last time out, and we anticipate the points being shared as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Seattle Sounders
48.5% ( 0)	27.12% ( -0)	24.37% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.94%

59.05% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49% (

79.51% (

-0)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

24.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1% (

58.9% (

-0)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

-0)

40.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

-0)

76.79% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 48.5%

Seattle Sounders 24.37%

Draw 27.11%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.5%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.37%