MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 00:24:30| >> :600:227767:227767:
[monks data]
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 5
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Luton
0 - 2
Stoke


Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions and team news.

Nathan Jones will come up against his former club when his Luton Town side host Stoke City on Saturday.

The Hatters are currently four points ahead of the Potters in the Championship table, having made an impressive start to the season.


Match preview

Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020© Reuters

Jones's 10-month tenure at the bet365 Stadium in 2019 was one to forget, as he won only six out of 38 matches and left the club second from bottom in the Championship.

He returned to Luton in May and has since lost just twice in 13 league games, getting fans back on side after he controversially left Kenilworth Road for Stoke when Luton were second in League One.

Before the international break, the Hatters won three of their opening four games of the season, most recently beating Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 thanks to goals from Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu and Elliot Lee.

They have lost just three times at home in 2020, with James Collins scoring a 91st-minute penalty to earn a 1-1 draw when Stoke last visited Bedfordshire in February.

The result continued Luton's run of eight games without a win against the Potters which dates back to December 2000.

Stoke, now under the stewardship of Michael O'Neill, have started the campaign with one win, two draws and a defeat as they look to make it back to the Premier League at the third time of asking.

Nick Powell's scruffy late equaliser rescued a point last time out in a 1-1 draw with Birmingham City – only their second league goal of the season. This is despite having the highest average possession in the Championship at 56.5%.

Their recent away form is good, with just two defeats in their last nine games on the road – although those losses were 5-0 and 3-0 thrashings at the hands of Leeds United and Wigan Athletic respectively.

Luton Town Championship form: WWLW
Luton Town form (all competitions): WWWLLW

Stoke City Championship form: DLWD
Stoke City form (all competitions): WLWWWD


Team News

Stoke City players celebrate scoring against Birmingham City on October 4, 2020© Reuters

Nathan Jones is unlikely to make too many changes to a winning team, but Elliot Lee could come back in to start after scoring as a substitute against Wycombe.

Tom Lockyer is aiming to be fit for the game after missing out against the Chairboys and sitting out Wales's games in the international break.

Nick Powell is another player who scored as a substitute two weeks ago, so could replace Tashan Oakley-Boothe in Stoke's starting lineup.

Summer signing Steven Fletcher is still yet to score but his performances have warranted a continued place in the side. The debate comes as to who partners him upfront – Lee Gregory or Tyrese Campbell.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Cranie, Pearson, Bradley, Norrington-Davies; Rea; Cornick, Berry, Mpanzu, LuaLua; Lee

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Davies; Chester, Souttar, Fox; Smith, Mikel, Clucas, Powell, McClean; Fletcher, Gregory


SM words green background

We say: Luton Town 1-1 Stoke City

On paper, Stoke's team is packed with more quality and experience than Luton's, but Nathan Jones is getting the best out of the Hatters and will feel he has a point to prove against his old side. A tight game lies in store.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


ID:418458:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6165:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

Who will win the Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City?

Luton Town
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
0
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020
Read Next:
Nathan Jones: 'We should have scored more goals against Wycombe'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!