Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Martigues win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.