Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.