Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.