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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
4 - 1
Queretaro

Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nahuelpan (63')
Mendoza (26'), Osuna (45+4'), Barbona (86')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 3-1 Queretaro
Monday, September 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawQueretaro
53.57% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)39.76% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)43.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)29.78% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)65.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 53.57%
    Queretaro 24.12%
    Draw 22.3%
TolucaDrawQueretaro
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.57%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.3%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Perg (10')
Mendoza (48'), Torres (73'), Aguerre (87'), Cabrera (90+3')
Hernandez (64')
Fernandez (90+5')
Samudio (45+4')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
Sep 4, 2020 1am
Queretaro
4-1
Toluca
Madrigal (13'), Silveira (18' pen.), Garcia (52' og.), Sepulveda (69')
Rea (81')
Guemez (77')
Sauro (18'), Sartiaguin (58'), Cisneros (87')
Mar 7, 2020 1am
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Aguilar (60')
Nahuelpan (46'), Perez (62')
Fernandez (45+1')
Leon (63'), da Silva (87')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Monday, July 1
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
 
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Saturday, July 6
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Wednesday, July 10
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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