Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Club America had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.