Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atlas in this match.
