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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 2
Guadalajara

Molina (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 4-1 Juarez
Monday, January 23 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Toluca
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
29.32% (-0.551 -0.55) 28.92% (-0.349 -0.35) 41.75% (0.896 0.9)
Both teams to score 43.75% (0.668 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.43% (0.937 0.94)62.57% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84% (0.677 0.68)82.15% (-0.681 -0.68)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13% (0.085999999999999 0.09)37.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.080000000000002 0.08)74.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.979 0.98)29.58% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (1.179 1.18)65.61% (-1.182 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 29.32%
    CD Guadalajara 41.74%
    Draw 28.91%
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 11.2% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 13.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 1% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 41.74%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Guadalajara
0-0
Juarez

Zaldivar (4'), Mozo (84'), Beltran (90+2')

Garcia (90+3')
Feb 10, 2022 1am
Juarez
1-3
Guadalajara
Arce (10')
Olivera (49'), Arce (74')
Arribas (44' og.), Vega (82'), Angulo (86')
Sepulveda (34')
Sepulveda (52')
Aug 7, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-2
Juarez
Zaldivar (15'), Godinez (89')
Fernandez (10' pen., 51')
Fernandez (66'), Garcia (69')
Jan 31, 2021 1am
Guadalajara
1-2
Juarez
Macias (77')
Lezcano (10'), Garcia (29')
Santos (32'), Garcia (52'), Velazquez (54'), Palos (64')
Aug 13, 2020 1am
Juarez
0-2
Guadalajara

Romo (52'), Lopez (81')
Macias (56' pen.), Angulo (65')
Sanchez (42'), Mier (66'), Vega (74'), Villalpando (86')
Vega (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
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Monday, July 1
 
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8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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